Saturday, March 12, 2011

Japan quake and tsunami puts Apple iPad in perspective


Sometimes it takes a disaster for reality orientation and life’s priorities to set in.
This week, at least for those of us reporting in the New Media and other technical publications that cover computers and the consumer electronics industry, all eyes were on Friday, the 11th of March, 2011. The day that the iPad 2 went on sale.
Some of us became completely obsessed with the notion of buying an iPad 2 and wrote about the anticipation and lengths one would go through in order to obtain it. include myself in this shameless group — I woke up that Friday morning to find out there was now a 2 or 3 week shipping lag instead of a 2 or 3 day estimated time until I’d receive one if I placed an order with Apple’s web site that day.
Massive lines at the local Apple stores in Northern New Jersey and New York City were forming as early as 9 or 10am, seven hours before they were supposed to go on sale. My chances of getting one on launch day or even in the next week were pretty much shot.
I was disappointed that I wouldn’t be able to test it out and write up my impressions of it for the following week on ZDNet. I recall I may have even cursed and yelled at my computer screen a few times, feeling sorry for myself that I wasn’t one of the selected few technology journalists who had earlier access to the device for review.
That disappointment and my own personal selfishness ended a whole five minutes later, when I received a shower of incoming Twitter messages alerting me to current events in Japan.
I turned on the TV to watch the morning news, where my screen was filled with images of destruction the likes of which we haven’t seen since Christmas of 2004, when an destructive tsunami originating in the Indian Ocean from a massive earthquake killed hundreds of thousands of people in Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India and in other countries within reach of the wave.
Indeed, Hurricane Katrina which followed in our own country in August of 2005 caused untold billions of dollars of damage and displaced the lives of hundreds of thousands of people in New Orleans all over the Gulf states, but the loss of life, while tragic, paled in comparison to the Indian Ocean tsunami.
We hoped we’d never see anything like those two disasters ever again.
In the early hours of Friday morning, when many of us had just gone to bed on the West coast of the United States, history repeated itself. A massive earthquake, estimated to be between magnitude 8.9 and 9.1 on the Richter scale, struck 81 miles off the coast of Japan’s Tōhoku region.
The resulting tsunami wave created by that earthquake has now caused vast and untold amounts of destruction in the Japanese city of Sendai, and has displaced at least 200,000 people now living in temporary shelters, with a death toll that is already estimated to be in the thousands.
The number of dead will likely rise very sharply over the next several weeks once the full extent of the damage from this event has been completely assessed. Many thousands of people are also reported as missing.
On top of this natural tragedy, the specter of a nuclear disaster has also emerged. One of Japan’s reactors, located in the prefecture of Fukushima, has been heavily damaged and is leaking radiation. A second reactor in the same complex is apparently experiencing problems with a failed emergency cooling system.
Eleven of the country’s fifty-five nuclear plants were completely shut down yesterday, leaving many areas without power and working telecommunications infrastructure. The damaged reactor in question, Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1, is part of a complex of six reactors, built by Tokyo Electric in 1971.
Current reports coming out of the country and the Fukushima area are sketchy and conflicting, but we know that as a result of the earthquake and the tsunami, a massive explosion at one of the buildings at the plant housing two of the six reactor cores has caused critical emergency cooling systems on two to fail.
Radiation in the contaminated steam from the damaged cooling turbine pumps has been determined to be leaking due to detection of cesium-137 isotopes taken from samples from the air of the surrounding area and the measurement of the radiation in the immediate vicinity of the reactor facility which is at eight times normal levels.
Currently, the first of the two damaged reactors is leaking approximately the amount of radiation in one hour that a typical human being receives in one year,
The entire population of 51,000 people living in a six mile radius surrounding the reactor is being evacuated.
Japanese workers are now feverishly pouring in sea water to try to keep the reactor fuel cool in order to avoid a meltdown similar to theChernobyl event in the Ukraine in 1986.
However, since the reactor cores themselves have not been exposed, it is unlikely that they will ever go critical and have a complete fuel meltown. According to various nuclear experts that have been recently interviewed on the subject, it would most likely be similar in scope to theThree Mile Island incident in 1979, which was rated a 4 out of 7 in terms of its severity and environmental impact on the International Nuclear Event Scale.
A INE of 4 has serious local consequences. The Fukushima event will probably ending up being rated by the IAEA as a 4 or a 5, with wider consequences for the surrounding area.
[UPDATE, Saturday March 12 2011: Japan's nuclear regulatory and safety agency, NISA, has rated the accident a 4 on the INES scale in itsupdates to the IAEA. The IAEA itself has not yet assigned a rating.]
[UPDATE, Saturday March 12 2011, 5PM EST: A second reactor's emergency cooling system at the Fukushima plant has also failed, prompting additional efforts to supply seawater for cooling. Article copy has been updated]
However, If either of the affected Fukushima reactors undergo a complete fuel meltdown and it they cannot be quickly contained, resulting in an INE of 7 (the equivalent to a Chernobyl event, the worst nuclear accident in human history) the contamination from airborne radiation could be devastating for Japan, the entire pacific region and for the Western United States.
Such an event would potentially sicken and result in the deaths of tens of thousands of people, and causing severe environmental damage, not to mention tremendous negative economic impact to Japan and the entire affected region.
While this worst case-scenario is unlikely since the situation is not a “fast reaction” like Chernobyl (in that case, the entire reactor exploded, blowing the roof off the building and the containment vessel, exposing the raw, melted fuel to the open air and sending a huge cloud of radioactive material into the atmosphere) even a INE of a 5 or a 6 is still within the realm of possibility.
All of this puts life in perspective and makes you think about what is important. Human lives are important. Being obsessed with high-tech gadgets is not.
While my wife did end up standing on line at Target for me at 5PM yesterday, and I did eventually end up getting my iPad 2, I primarily used it on Friday night to watch the horrible scenes of destruction and live videos that kept rolling in from Japan. The gift was bittersweet.
It becomes very difficult to enjoy technology and a device as fun as the iPad when you know so many people are dying, or will die as a result of this incredible tragedy.
Whether you got your iPad or not on Friday, I urge you to donate to either the American Red Cross or the Salvation Army which are two of the larger BBB accredited charities assisting in the relief efforts.
Donors can text “Japan” to 80888 from their cell phones to donate $10 to Salvation Army efforts.  They can visit mobilecause.com for terms and conditions and should respond “Yes” to a “Thank you” message they receive.
Donors can text “Redcross” from their cell phones to 90999 to donate the same amount to that organization.
Larger donations can always be made online via the Red Cross websiteor Salvation Army website.
Source: ZDNet | By Jason Perlow
Original Content: Japan quake and tsunami puts Apple iPad in perspective

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